Predicting the future state of the world using archaeological data: an exercise an archaeomancy

Cross-Cultural Research • Vol/Iss. 38 • Published In • Pages: 133-146 •
By Peregrine, Peter N., Ember, Carol R., Ember, Melvin

Abstract

This study examines the change in political integration over time. Results show that political integration has increased during the past 12,000 years following a quadratic curve. Authors suggest that, following this quadratic model, a world state is likely to appear by AD 5000.

Samples

Sample Used Coded Data Comment
eHRAF ArchaeologyResearchers OwnAlso used the Outline of Archaeological Traditions
Documents and Hypotheses Filed By: Jessie Cohen  Megan Farrer