An evolutionary agent-based model of pre-state warfare patterns: cross-cultural tests

World Cultures Vol/Iss. 15 Published In Pages: 28-36
By Burtsev, Mikhail S., Korotayev, Andrey V.

Hypothesis

Threat of natural disasters will be negatively associated with frequency of warfare in state societies (32-35)

Note

Using a sample of unpacified cultures the correlation is in the same direction and stronger (?= -0.77, p=0.02)

Test

Test NameSupportSignificanceCoefficientTail
Spearman’s rank-order correlationSupportedp=0.004?= -0.66UNKNOWN