Risk, uncertainty, and violence in eastern Africa: a regional comparison

Unpredictable scarcity will be more predictive of higher warfare frequency than chronic scarcity (37).

This hypothesis was supported for nonstate societies but not for state societies.

Test
Test Name	Support	Significance	Coefficient	Tail
multiple regression	Partially supported	`UNKNOWN`	`UNKNOWN`	`UNKNOWN`

Variables
Variable Name	Variable Type	OCM Term(s)
Unpredictable Scarcity	Independent	Climate, Diet, Disasters, Gratification And Control Of Hunger, Poverty, Topography And Geology
Warfare	Dependent	Ingroup Antagonisms, Instigation Of War

Main Author	Published Year	Hypothesis	Supported	Variables Tested
Korotayev, Andrey V.	2008	Threat of natural disasters will be negatively related to warfare frequency in state societies	Supported	2	Cite Related Hypotheses More By Author
Ember, Carol R.	2012	Resource scarcity will be positively associated with warfare frequency in nonstate, nonpacified societies (37).	Supported	2	Cite Related Hypotheses More By Author
Ember, Carol R.	2012	Resource scarcity will be negatively associated with warfare frequency in state societies (37).	Supported	2	Cite Related Hypotheses More By Author
Ember, Carol R.	2012	Resource scarcity will be positively associated with the committing of atrocities during warfare (37).	Not Supported	2	Cite Related Hypotheses More By Author
Ember, Melvin	1988	Warfare frequency will be positively associated with resource problems (9).	Partially supported	4	Cite Related Hypotheses More By Author