Rise and fall of political complexity in island South-East Asia and the Pacific

Nature Vol/Iss. 467(7317) Nature Publishing Group Published In Pages: 801-804
By Currie, Thomas E., Greenhill, Simon J. , Gray, Russell D. , Hasegawa, Toshikazu, Mace, Ruth


Societies tend to change from simple forms of organization to more complex forms of organization in non-sequential paths, and decreases in hierarchical organization are also non-sequential [The "alternative trajectories (reversible)" model] (802).


This model was ranked relative to the other five models of political organization according to their explanatory power.


Test NameSupportSignificanceCoefficientTail
Maximum likelihood/Bayesian reversible-jump Markov chain Monte CarloLow support (ranked 4th/6)UNKNOWNUNKNOWNUNKNOWN


Variable NameVariable Type OCM Term(s)
Political OrganizationUNKNOWNSocial Stratification, Territorial Hierarchy