Rise of the war machines: Charting the evolution of military technologies from the Neolithic to the Industrial Revolution
PLOS ONE • Vol/Iss. 16(10) • PLOS • • Published In • Pages: ??•
By Turchin, Peter, Hoyer, Daniel, Korotayev, Andrey V., Kradin, Nikolay, Nefedov, Sergey, Feinman, Gary M., Levine, Jill, Reddish, Jenny, Cioni, Enrico, Thorpe, Chelsea, Bennett, James S., François, Pieter, Whitehouse, Harvey
Hypothesis
Military technological evolution is primarily predicted by global demographic and diffusion processes rather than characteristics of individual states.
Note
See Table 1 & Discussion.
| Test Name | Support | Significance | Coefficient | Tail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamic multiple regression | Supported | UNKNOWN | UNKNOWN | UNKNOWN |
| Variable Name | Variable Type | OCM Term(s) |
|---|---|---|
| Military Technology | Dependent | Military Installations, Ordnance, Weapons |
| Territorial size | Independent | Territorial Organization |
| Global population | Independent | NONE |
| Connectivity | Independent | Exchange Transactions, External Trade, Location |
| Iron metallurgy | Independent | Metallurgy, Smiths And Their Crafts |
| Horse riding/Cavalry | Independent | Domesticated Animals, Ground Combat Forces |
| Polity population | Independent | Demography, Population |
| Polity Scale | Independent | Community Structure, Settlement Patterns, Territorial Hierarchy |