Frequent disturbances enhanced the resilience of past human populations
Nature • Vol/Iss. 629(8013) • Springer • • Published In • Pages: 837-842 •
By Riris, Philip, Silva, Fabio, Crema, Enrico, Palmisano, Alessio, Robinson, Erick, Siegel, Peter E., French, Jennifer C., Kirkeng Jørgensen, Erlend, Maezumi, Shira Yoshi, Solheim, Steinar, Bates, Jennifer, Davies, Benjamin, Oh, Yongie, Ren, Xiaolin
Hypothesis
Societies with a greater proportion of land devoted to farming and livestock herding tend to experience more societal catastrophes (from a demographic perspective) but also recover more quickly than societies where less land is devoted to herding and agriculture.
| Test Name | Support | Significance | Coefficient | Tail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayesian models (various) | Supported | NA | NA | NA |
| Variable Name | Variable Type | OCM Term(s) |
|---|---|---|
| Population resistance (i.e. severity of downturns) | Dependent | Birth Statistics, Mortality, Population |
| Population resilience (i.e. response to downturns) | Dependent | Birth Statistics, Mortality, Population |
| Relative pace of societal recovery (i.e. speed of response to downturns) | Dependent | Birth Statistics, Mortality, Population |
| Number of catastrophes experienced in the past | Independent | Disasters |
| Land-use patterns | Independent | Land Use |