Social structure and conflict: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa

Working paper Vol/Iss. . Harvard Scholar Published In Pages: i-64
By Moscona, Jacob, Nunn, Nathan, Robinson, James A.


Onset and offset of conflict will be affected by segmentary lineage systems


Segmentary lineage was found to be associated with a greater probability of conflicts starting, and with wars being less likely to end and thus lasting longer after they start (52). "The effect of segmentary lineage on offset appears to be greater than for onset (52)." When segmentary lineage was tested with conflict scale using a negative binomial estimate, the segmentary lineage indicator is positive and significant in all columns, but "the magnitude of the coefficient increases monotonically as the number of fatalities rise"(52).


Test NameSupportSignificanceCoefficientTail
Discrete time hazard modelSupportedmultiple p-valuesUNKNOWNUNKNOWN