Social resilience to climate-related disasters in ancient societies: a test of two hypotheses

Santa Fe Institute Published In Pages: 1-35
By Peregrine, Peter N.


Societies with more corporate political strategies are more resilient to catastrophic climate-related disasters


Pearson's r correlations between corporate-Exclusionary Index and dependent variables: change in population (r= .241, p<.160), change in health (r=-.029, p<.452), change in conflict (r=.425, p<.050), change in household organization (r=-.091, p<.348), change in village organization (r=.182, p<.209), change in regional organization (r=.508, p<.008), change in ritual architecture and organization (r=.495, p<.010). "All but one of the correlations are in the expected direction and Conflict, Regional Organization, and Communal Ritual appear to be significantly more stable if a society has a more corporate political system preceding a climate-related disaster. This would suggest that having a more corporately-oriented political organization tends to minimize conflict following a disaster and to preserve core structures of both regional organization and the public rituals that bond groups into social units (p.12)."


Test NameSupportSignificanceCoefficientTail
CorrelationPartialMultiple p-valuesMultiple Pearson's R ValuesUNKNOWN