Redemption through Rebellion: Border Change, Lost Unity, and Nationalist Conflict

American Journal of Political Science Vol/Iss. 66(1) Wiley Hoboken, NJ Published In Pages: 24-42
By Cederman, Lars-Erik, Rüegger, Seraina, Schvitz, Guy


Territorial fractionalization will be positively correlated with violent conflict against ethnically distinct host government.


Results below are for the global sample of aggregate group (AG) level variables. Results were also positive and significant for the European subsample (p<0.01) and the African subsample (p<0.001), and all were robust to a number of different controls.


Test NameSupportSignificanceCoefficientTail
Logistic regressionSupportedp<0.001Not standardizedUNKNOWN